War

DIY-HP-LED

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
BudmanTX said:
got a strange feeling there is gonna a a lot of surrenders coming in that area
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They have little choice unless they wanna swim or steal a speed boat and all their heavy equipment, mostly out of fuel will be captured too. There are an estimated 25,000 to 35,000 Russian troops in the area that are cut off, add to that the quislings and lackies who can't get out either! I dunno how many BTGs worth of equipment the Ukrainians will end up with in Kherson, but it should be a lot and I figure they will bag most of the Russians there too. Captured count as casualties and 30K in one go is a Helluva a blow, and upsets the balance of power on the battlefield significantly.
 
printer

printer

Well-Known Member
DIY-HP-LED said:
Officially declaring war has international ramifications including with the UN, Russia might find itself without a seat on the security council. It would be a major violation of international law and the US and UK along with Turkey provided Ukraine with security assurances, not guarantees, but an official declaration of war might change that. It is a move that could backfire on Vlad at home and abroad, he cannot control the flow of information internally these days. Stalin operated in the dark for most Russians and had total control of the information systems, radio and newspapers in those days. How such things will work today with cellphones, the internet and a tech savvy youth that is mostly against the war, or at least participating in it, remains to be seen.

Vlad and his crew fucked Russia economically and humiliated the military with incompetence and corruption. Vlad has a political base in Russia and with election cheating and throwing people out of windows has maintained power in the Duma. Unlike with the collapse of the Soviet Union, they now have the framework of a liberal democracy, they don't have the culture though and the scares of Stalin still remain as does his heirs like Vlad. Elections are next year I believe and pissing off the entire adult male population is not a good idea, neither is losing a war and causing national humiliation and poverty. They will have to take election cheating to a whole new level next time and that's when things could really go off the rails in Russia and violence could break out as conditions deteriorate while Vlad or his crew try to cling to power.
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But with the areas anexed by Russia it is the Ukrainians that are invading "Russia" and Russia is only defending itself.
 
printer

printer

Well-Known Member
DIY-HP-LED said:
They have little choice unless they wanna swim or steal a speed boat and all their heavy equipment, mostly out of fuel will be captured too. There are an estimated 25,000 to 35,000 Russian troops in the area that are cut off, add to that the quislings and lackies who can't get out either! I dunno how many BTGs worth of equipment the Ukrainians will end up with in Kherson, but it should be a lot and I figure they will bag most of the Russians there too. Captured count as casualties and 30K in one go is a Helluva a blow, and upsets the balance of power on the battlefield significantly.
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Seems the Russians have retreated a few times now rather than having their men captured. Might even happen again in the south.
 
DIY-HP-LED

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member

Russian army morale is too low for mobilisation to help Putin's military strategy
32,748 views Oct 5, 2022 "The chain of command is not good and the leadership is poor, then morale collapses.

What is Putin going to do about it?" Putin’s mobilisation will ‘not make a difference’ to the war if morale is already bad, Major General Tim Cross tells #TimesRadio.
 
Roger A. Shrubber

Roger A. Shrubber

Well-Known Member
printer said:
Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu specified that about 300,000 Russians would be involved in the mobilization, which is just over one percent of the country's total mobilization reserve.
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He's saying they have a mobilization reserve of 30,000,000? Good luck with getting them to show up.
Seriously, over 700,000 are suspected to have fled the country over a mobilization of 300,000, what do you think would happen if they tried to mobilize a million or more? at the going rate, 2.5 to 3 million would flee the country.
and what are you going to equip these million men with? you're having trouble with the 300K, and are already telling them they have to buy their own uniforms, their own body armor...
i'm a cretin from the hollers of Tn. and i can see all the obvious bullshit, they have to be aware that they are royally fucked...
 
hanimmal

hanimmal

Well-Known Member
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-nato-norfolk-atlantic-ocean-us-navy-58217f23b761574fde9fb1adc8422aeeScreen Shot 2022-10-05 at 3.47.51 PM.png
NORFOLK, Va. (AP) — The U.S. Navy’s most advanced aircraft carrier embarked on its first-ever deployment Tuesday and will train with other NATO countries amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The USS Gerald R. Ford left the world’s largest Navy base in Norfolk, Virginia, along with destroyers and other ships that make up its carrier strike group. The Ford will join vessels from countries that include France, Germany and Sweden for various exercises, including anti-submarine warfare, in the Atlantic Ocean.

The exercises come seven months after Russia invaded Ukraine and during a time of increasing tension between Moscow and the West. Bradley Martin, a senior policy researcher with the RAND Corporation, told The Associated Press last week the exercises will showcase American military capabilities and support for NATO.

The USS Ford is the first of the Navy’s new Ford class of aircraft carriers. They are designed to carry a wider variety of planes and operate with several hundred fewer sailors.

The ship is deploying five years after it was commissioned. It’s been beset by various issues, including problems with its aircraft launch system and the elevators that bring missiles and bombs to jets on the flight deck.

Martin said it’s not unexpected for the first ship in a new class to have to work out various kinks. He said the Ford is still part of a larger display of the nation’s military might.
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DIY-HP-LED

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
To make a big bang over a distance ya need 1000 lbs of thrust with a turbo jet engine carrying a 1000lb plus warhead for a drone/cruise missile. Computers are also cheap these days and guidance using terrain mapping and photos is much easier to do, if your country isn't under sanctions, so is inertial guidance for a considerable distance too. If Iran can build these things and others, so can Ukraine and they can do a much better job since they make small turbojet engines already. The turbo jet engine for a cruise missile only has to last for a couple of hours at the most, so it need not be made of exotic materials and would be cheap and easy to make.


Iranian-supplied 'suicide drone' being used by Russians against Ukraine
105,994 views Oct 2, 2022 Russia is relying on Iranian loitering drones to try to regain a battlefield advantage. The Iranian Shahed-136 loitering munition has been widely reported as a 'suicide drone'. Russia has been using the Shahed-136 increasingly against the Ukrainians, in some part due to the contested air space over Ukraine.
 
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