post EC predictions here
- Thread starter UncleBuck
- Start date
RyanTheRhino
Well-Known Member
Carne Seca
Well-Known Member
Florida is fucked. Once again. Only this time it was deliberate.
RyanTheRhino
Well-Known Member
what happened in Florida?
RyanTheRhino
Well-Known Member
ChesusRice
Well-Known Member
The usual
-voter suppression
-voter caging
-registration irregularities (tossing out forms for likly democrats)
-disenfranchising felons after they got their right to vote restored
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
deliberately manmade 6 hour lines to vote, especially in neighborhoods whose demographics lean democratic.
ChesusRice
Well-Known Member
Nov. 4 — FLORIDA — ‘Let us vote!’ The state Democratic Party filed a lawsuit to extend voting in four counties and voters waited for hours to try to vote Sunday in Miami-Dade County. Mayor Carlos Gimenez told the Miami Herald the county headquarters had temporarily shut down, prompting a protest by voters screaming ‘Let us vote!,’ because he hadn’t authorized the additional hours. Gimenez relented, allowing hundreds more to vote. Florida traditionally has permitted Sunday voting, but the GOP-controlled state Legislature eliminated it last year.
RyanTheRhino
Well-Known Member
so Recount will decide winner
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
nope.
one or two states may be close enough for automatic recount, but they will not be decisive.
obama has ohio, virginia, iowa, wisconsin, and nevada.
it's over. you heard it here first. 294-244.
RyanTheRhino
Well-Known Member
He wont get Virginia, just from observation.. cough* not that its worth that many EC
and shame on you buck your state only leans Obama
Carne Seca
Well-Known Member
They told them to go to the Miami-Dade office to vote and the office locked its doors when they start lining up. The people stood in line for two hours. Then they were towing the voters cars away that were in the parking lot. Finally they reopened the doors and people waited another 4 hours to vote.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
He wont get Virginia, just from observation.. cough* not that its worth that many EC
and shame on you buck your state only leans Obama
yeah, we're only a leaner. that's rich.
[h=2]Virginia[/h] [TABLE="class: eg2012-538-projection-table"]
[TR]
[TH] FiveThirtyEight Projections [/TH]
[TH="class: dem"]Dem[/TH]
[TH="class: rep"]Rep[/TH]
[TH="class: margin"]Margin[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR="class: minor"]
[TD="class: label"] Polling average [/TD]
[TD="class: dem pct"]47.9[/TD]
[TD="class: rep pct"]46.9[/TD]
[TD="class: margin dem"]Obama +1.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: minor"]
[TD="class: label"] Adjusted polling average [/TD]
[TD="class: dem pct"]48.2[/TD]
[TD="class: rep pct"]46.7[/TD]
[TD="class: margin dem"]Obama +1.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: minor"]
[TD="class: label"] State fundamentals [/TD]
[TD="class: dem pct"]47.7[/TD]
[TD="class: rep pct"]47.3[/TD]
[TD="class: margin dem"]Obama +0.4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: minor"]
[TD="class: label"] Now-cast [/TD]
[TD="class: dem pct"]48.2[/TD]
[TD="class: rep pct"]46.7[/TD]
[TD="class: margin dem"]Obama +1.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: label"] Projected vote share ±2.7 [/TD]
[TD="class: dem pct"]50.4[/TD]
[TD="class: rep pct"]48.9[/TD]
[TD="class: margin dem"]Obama +1.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: label"]Chance of winning[/TD]
[TD="class: dem pct"]71%[/TD]
[TD="class: rep pct"]29%[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
[TABLE="class: eg2012-538-polls-table has-more all"]
[TR]
[TH="class: polls"]Polls[/TH]
[TH="class: wt"]538 WT.[/TH]
[TH="class: date"]Date[/TH]
[TH="class: dem"]Dem[/TH]
[TH="class: rep"]Rep[/TH]
[TH="class: margin"]Margin[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: org"] Ipsos (online) [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-4"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]11/4[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]47.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]46.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +1.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: org"] YouGov [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-5"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]11/3[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]46.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +2.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: org"] Ipsos (online) [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-5"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]11/3[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]45.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +3.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: org"] Ipsos (online) [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-5"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]11/2[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]45.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +3.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: org"] We Ask America [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-5"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]11/1[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]48.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]47.6 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +0.9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] Ipsos (online) [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-1"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]11/1[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]49.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]44.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +5.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] Ipsos (online) [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-1"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]10/31[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]46.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +2.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] PPP [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-4"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]10/31[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]49.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]46.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +3.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] Pulse Opinion Research [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-4"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]10/30[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]49.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +1.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] The New York Times/Quinnipiac [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-5"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]10/28[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]49.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]47.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +2.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] Gravis Marketing [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-4"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]10/26[/TD]
[TD="class: dem"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]48.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-tie"]Tie[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: nytint-more"]
[TD="class: org"] The Washington Post [/TD]
[TD="class: fte-weight fte-weight-5"][/TD]
[TD="class: date"]10/26[/TD]
[TD="class: dem dem-lead"]51.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: rep"]47.0 [/TD]
[TD="class: margin margin-dem"]Obama +4.0[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
RyanTheRhino
Well-Known Member
here is what I get from that data, but go ahead believe its 71% vs 29%
SirGreenThumb
Well-Known Member
Actually I heard this long before you tried to come up with this prediction. Nice try though.
Check it out, and these are just to name a few:
http://ordinary-gentlemen.com/burtlikko/2012/11/my-prediction-is-294-244-obama/
http://www.takomatigercamps.com/oba...e-vote-lead-over-romney-in-post-debate-polls/
http://www.examiner.com/article/oba...llege-vote-lead-over-romney-post-debate-polls
http://www.thedailypage.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=56051
Very unoriginal as usual.
Wait for it
almost
1 starred.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
you can't even paint a map because you're too much of a pussy.
get ready to cry on tuesday, shortly after 11 pm pacific time.
Carne Seca
Well-Known Member
The next two days are going to be hell on earth.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
remember how bad it was in september, when obama was in a similarly dominant position?
these next two days will be much worse.
i'm going to stay in the garage and do my annual deep cleaning.
also, i will never paint without primer again. ever.
Carne Seca
Well-Known Member
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