Obama's Fuzzy Math

dirtysnowball

Well-Known Member
funny how things turned out. it was predicted that the debt would raise to 100% by 2018..... are debt is now 90% in 2012, obama is actually speeding up his plan hahaha fuck.... it was 40% at the beggining of osama hussiens reign :caugh: i mean obama. time for another war, we always make money in war
 

dukeanthony

New Member
Have to Kill Obamacare before the Benefits take hold and people see the Republicans are lying
And the one thing the Republicans do not want is a recovered economy
have to stop that before 2012

If it does start recovering faster though
You can bet the Republicans will take credit for it
 

tftx22

Member
Have to Kill Obamacare before the Benefits take hold and people see the Republicans are lying
And the one thing the Republicans do not want is a recovered economy
have to stop that before 2012

If it does start recovering faster though
You can bet the Republicans will take credit for it
Don't drink the koolaid, man. If I wanted this kind of BS, I'd watch MSNBC. Care to elaborate, or are you just high?
 

dukeanthony

New Member
Unemployment has fallen
Jobs have been created
the stock market has returned

Take off the tin foil and turn off the AM radio
 

NoDrama

Well-Known Member
Unemployment has fallen
Jobs have been created
the stock market has returned

Take off the tin foil and turn off the AM radio
lets see now, the facts, Unemployment is at 16%, that's an increase.
the stock market has peeled off 2,000 points in the last month, that is a decline
Jobs have been lost, in fact the new layoffs claim was the highest ever in the history of the USA, that was just last week.
 

mame

Well-Known Member
lets see now, the facts, Unemployment is at 16%, that's an increase.
the stock market has peeled off 2,000 points in the last month, that is a decline
Jobs have been lost, in fact the new layoffs claim was the highest ever in the history of the USA, that was just last week.


Jobs may have been lost, but just as many have been gained. ND, that's my only real gripe about your posts... You are constantly trying to say that we've "lost jobs"... How about a little intuectual honesty? Can we agree to use the NET numbers for employment? Is that so hard?

As you can see, the employment to population ratio is flat - there is no decline - and so the overall number of jobs in the US has not been in decline since Obama has been in office. It hasn't gone up either, obviously, so why dont you focus on the fact that employment hasn't improved rather than trying to overstate how bad things are?

Also, since Obama has been in office the stock market is up; Obviously there have been declines lately but the market is still up overall over the course of Obama's term.

And I still dont see how you're getting 16% unemployment...
 

angelsbandit

Well-Known Member
Unemployment has not fallen - there are just more who have fallen off the unemployment roles.


There are more unemployed Americans now than at any time in history. People fall off the unemployment roles, and are simply no longer counted.
This manor of calculating has been in use for a long time, but now the people falling from the unemployment roles are not getting back to work as in the past, they just don't count anymore.


More Americans are unemployed, and are staying unemployed for longer than ever before, and Obama's proposed "jobs bill" sends most of the taxpayer money to existing union employees and not to the currently unemployed.


Smoke and mirrors baby.........smoke and mirrors.
 

mame

Well-Known Member
More Americans are unemployed, and are staying unemployed for longer than ever before, and Obama's proposed "jobs bill" sends most of the taxpayer money to existing union employees and not to the currently unemployed.
No, it doesn't. ACTUALLY 60% of it is tax cuts, another chunk is roads and bridges, some of it is for unemployment and then a small portion - about 10% overall - is money to keep teachers employed in the face of local and state level austerity. Now, you think this is just a gesture towards the teachers unions(because you're obviously biased), but if you had any sort of economic training you'd know that state and locla level austerity is a HUGE drag on our economy ATM and reducing it's impact will be a critical task towards recovery and therefore it makes absolute sense to try and retain teachers that would otherwise be laid off at no fault of their own.
 

NoDrama

Well-Known Member


Jobs may have been lost, but just as many have been gained. ND, that's my only real gripe about your posts... You are constantly trying to say that we've "lost jobs"... How about a little intuectual honesty? Can we agree to use the NET numbers for employment? Is that so hard?

As you can see, the employment to population ratio is flat - there is no decline - and so the overall number of jobs in the US has not been in decline since Obama has been in office. It hasn't gone up either, obviously, so why dont you focus on the fact that employment hasn't improved rather than trying to overstate how bad things are?

Also, since Obama has been in office the stock market is up; Obviously there have been declines lately but the market is still up overall over the course of Obama's term.

And I still dont see how you're getting 16% unemployment...
Shouldn't we be doing the statistics the same way we did in the past so as to make these times at least comparable? If we did unemployment the way it was done in the 70's , well we are at 26% unemployment, which is just as bad as the great depression. But we do unemployment under a new system that does not count half the unemployed people. No jobs have been gained at all, just because 1 job is created and 3 are lost is a net LOSS.

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/learn-how-to-invest/The-real-unemployment-rate.aspx
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=CNG.4452bed82adf3124e5884678e236d7fb.361
http://www.dailyfinance.com/2010/07/16/what-is-the-real-unemployment-rate/
http://www.eutimes.net/2011/03/real-us-unemployment-rate-may-be-22-percent-for-february/


BLS U6 unemployment numbers say the Real rate of unemployment is 16%
 

mame

Well-Known Member
Shouldn't we be doing the statistics the same way we did in the past so as to make these times at least comparable? If we did unemployment the way it was done in the 70's , well we are at 26% unemployment, which is just as bad as the great depression. But we do unemployment under a new system that does not count half the unemployed people. No jobs have been gained at all, just because 1 job is created and 3 are lost is a net LOSS.

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/learn-how-to-invest/The-real-unemployment-rate.aspx
http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=CNG.4452bed82adf3124e5884678e236d7fb.361
http://www.dailyfinance.com/2010/07/16/what-is-the-real-unemployment-rate/
http://www.eutimes.net/2011/03/real-us-unemployment-rate-may-be-22-percent-for-february/


BLS U6 unemployment numbers say the Real rate of unemployment is 16%
That's all well and good, but you didn't address the claim that we've "lost jobs". I posted the employment:population ratio, which includes everyone including the retired, disabled and children and as you can see the E:P has remained steady, which means the economy as a whole is not still losing jobs as you keep insisting. If one guy loses his job, and another guy gains a job thats a net zero effect for the economy as a whole. What you are doing is you're looking at the "jobs lost" column of the data without looking at the "jobs gained" column and it paints a harsher picture than what reality is.
 

NoDrama

Well-Known Member
That's all well and good, but you didn't address the claim that we've "lost jobs". I posted the employment:population ratio, which includes everyone including the retired, disabled and children and as you can see the E:P has remained steady, which means the economy as a whole is not still losing jobs as you keep insisting. If one guy loses his job, and another guy gains a job thats a net zero effect for the economy as a whole. What you are doing is you're looking at the "jobs lost" column of the data without looking at the "jobs gained" column and it paints a harsher picture than what reality is.
Your graph actually proves nothing since it isn't taking into consideration that 150,000 jobs must be created each and every month just to keep unemployment numbers the same. So to actually improve the numbers they must create MORE THAN 150,000 jobs each month. When unemployment goers from 8% to 9.6% officially, that means more jobs were lost than created, it matters not what a graph shows. BTW your graph shows a definitive decrease all the way from beginning to end, granted lately the increase has not been as bad as previous years, but it is still heading down. The graph also uses the faulty u3 statistics which are highly suspect as they have changed the methodology 28 times in the last 30 years.

WE HAVE LOST JOBS, there is no other way to spin it, less people are working today than last year, and next year will be even worse.
 

canndo

Well-Known Member
Unemployment is pushing 10% now. I remember when unemployment was a little over 5% when Bush was in office and the libbies in the forum were going ballistic over it. Where are they now?

Vi

And I remember it being even lower in the Clinton years, and the right bitching about a BLOWJOB.
 

canndo

Well-Known Member
Have to Kill Obamacare before the Benefits take hold and people see the Republicans are lying
And the one thing the Republicans do not want is a recovered economy
have to stop that before 2012

If it does start recovering faster though
You can bet the Republicans will take credit for it

Yeah, "the Bush tax cuts for the rich FINALLY took hold"
 

mame

Well-Known Member
Your graph actually proves nothing since it isn't taking into consideration that 150,000 jobs must be created each and every month just to keep unemployment numbers the same. So to actually improve the numbers they must create MORE THAN 150,000 jobs each month. When unemployment goers from 8% to 9.6% officially, that means more jobs were lost than created, it matters not what a graph shows. BTW your graph shows a definitive decrease all the way from beginning to end, granted lately the increase has not been as bad as previous years, but it is still heading down. The graph also uses the faulty u3 statistics which are highly suspect as they have changed the methodology 28 times in the last 30 years.

WE HAVE LOST JOBS, there is no other way to spin it, less people are working today than last year, and next year will be even worse.
Going down? You mean from a low point of ~58.25% down to 58.10-58.15% or so? Sure, that's a decrease - barely I guess... Most people would chalk that up as close to no change, although I guess if you want to be picky... Certainly most wouldn't consider such a minor change to be much of a trend.
 
Top