Skewed polls conspiracy theories

abandonconflict

abandonconflict

Well-Known Member
They have two purposes.

Romney's campaign needs them in order to assure his voters he has a chance of winning and therefore that he is worth voting for. The other reason, the real reason, is because when he loses, he can say he was cheated.
 
Except when the national polls say that Romney got a bump from the first debate - those polls will be absolutely correct.
 
Here ya go with your conspiracy theory shit.

This is taken right off the Quinnipiac University Polls website.
A monkey could see that democrats were over sampled by 11%

Let's see you argue your way out of these facts!

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institute...-(fl-oh-and-pa)/release-detail?ReleaseID=1800


SOH0912 Demographics
====================

From September 18 - 24, 2012 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,162 likely voters in Ohio with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.


PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?

LIKELY VOTERS........
Weighted UnWeighted
Percent Frequency
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 26% 326
Democrat 35 387
Independent 35 397
Other/DK/NA 4 52
 
beenthere said:
Here ya go with your conspiracy theory shit.

This is taken right off the Quinnipiac University Polls website.
A monkey could see that democrats were over sampled by 11%

Let's see you argue your way out of these facts!

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institute...-(fl-oh-and-pa)/release-detail?ReleaseID=1800


SOH0912 Demographics
====================

From September 18 - 24, 2012 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,162 likely voters in Ohio with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.


PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?

LIKELY VOTERS........
Weighted UnWeighted
Percent Frequency
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 26% 326
Democrat 35 387
Independent 35 397
Other/DK/NA 4 52
Click to expand...

The self-described party identification of a survey subject is a fluid thing -- more an attitude than a demographic point. A respondent who voted Republican in 2008 but is now leaning toward Obama might tell the pollster in August 2012 that she is a Democrat or an independent. So, party identification percentages are fluid figures, changing from week to week.
 
beenthere said:
Here ya go with your conspiracy theory shit.

This is taken right off the Quinnipiac University Polls website.
A monkey could see that democrats were over sampled by 11%

Let's see you argue your way out of these facts!

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institute...-(fl-oh-and-pa)/release-detail?ReleaseID=1800


SOH0912 Demographics
====================

From September 18 - 24, 2012 Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,162 likely voters in Ohio with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.


PARTY IDENTIFICATION - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican,
a Democrat, an Independent, or what?

LIKELY VOTERS........
Weighted UnWeighted
Percent Frequency
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 26% 326
Democrat 35 387
Independent 35 397
Other/DK/NA 4 52
Click to expand...


What do you contend is the percentage of Republican voters in Ohio?
 
abandonconflict said:
The self-described party identification of a survey subject is a fluid thing -- more an attitude than a demographic point. A respondent who voted Republican in 2008 but is now leaning toward Obama might tell the pollster in August 2012 that she is a Democrat or an independent. So, party identification percentages are fluid figures, changing from week to week.
Click to expand...

So you're saying that the inconsistencies of these demographics that reflect an overwhelming over sampling of democrats is coincidence, even though every one of their polls have under sampled republicans? LOL
 
beenthere said:
So you're saying that the inconsistencies of these demographics that reflect an overwhelming over sampling of democrats is coincidence, even though every one of their polls have under sampled republicans? LOL
Click to expand...

I said nothing of coincidence. Furthermore, you use the word "overwhelming" rather loosely. Samples are proportionate to population.
 
beenthere said:
So you're saying that the inconsistencies of these demographics that reflect an overwhelming ov


er sampling of democrats is coincidence, even though every one of their polls have under sampled republicans? LOL
Click to expand...

I still don't see evidence of your oversampling - where?
 
abandonconflict said:
He doesn't have evidence, he actually believes half or more of the population is conservative/republican/retarded/right-wing/other white Christian NRA sympathizers.
Click to expand...

PRINCETON, NJ -- Americans are more than twice as likely to identify themselves as conservative rather than liberal on economic issues, 46% to 20%. The gap is narrower on social issues, but conservatives still outnumber liberals, 38% to 28%.

2duxzsp.gif
 
beenthere said:
PRINCETON, NJ -- Americans are more than twice as likely to identify themselves as conservative rather than liberal on economic issues, 46% to 20%. The gap is narrower on social issues, but conservatives still outnumber liberals, 38% to 28%.

2duxzsp.gif
Click to expand...

Conservative does not equal Republican.
 
abandonconflict said:
Where?

It is is also extremely fluid, could be 5% next week. Hell since so many people think Rmoney won the debate, they could both represent 8% of the population each while 84% are independent.
Click to expand...

Where what?

Where do democrats outnumber republicans by less than 3%? The US.

Where are democrats over sampled? A ton of polls... Do you not look at the numbers they have to release?
 
abandonconflict said:
Conservative does not equal Republican.
Click to expand...

I guess you didn't read very carefully, " Americans are more than twice as likely to identify themselves as conservative rather than liberal on economic issues, 46% to 20%"

Now, are you going to try and tell me this election is not primarily on the economy?
Many democrats are fiscally conservative, this is why the Obama camp is trying it's hardest to make the election about social issues!
 
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