az 8

ttystikk said:

Why is this particular race relevant to the larger situation?

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travisw said:

Last I saw, Debbie's lead was only a few points. In a neutral environment it should be substantially higher. Romney won the district with 25 points or so in 2012 , Trump took it with 22 points or so in 2016. Supposedly that district is 25% more Republican than the rest of the U.S..

The results in the 8th fit the pattern we've seen in the previous 9 special elections, namely, Democrats have outperformed the partisan baseline of the last two elections, by something like 17-18 points. It's the best anyone's done since 1994. Sort of like when the dems netted 30 seats and took back the house in 2006.

Their base turned out for this one. Debbie was no Roy Moore and she raised plenty of money. Republicans don't have a legitimate reason for how this happened.

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travisw said:

Last I saw, Debbie's lead was only a few points. In a neutral environment it should be substantially higher. Romney won the district with 25 points or so in 2012 , Trump took it with 22 points or so in 2016. Supposedly that district is 25% more Republican than the rest of the U.S..

The results in the 8th fit the pattern we've seen in the previous 9 special elections, namely, Democrats have outperformed the partisan baseline of the last two elections, by something like 17-18 points. It's the best anyone's done since 1994. Sort of like when the dems netted 30 seats and took back the house in 2006.

Their base turned out for this one. Debbie was no Roy Moore and she raised plenty of money. Republicans don't have a legitimate reason for how this happened.

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ttystikk said:

Why is this particular race relevant to the larger situation?

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Fogdog said:

True that. GOP ran a candidate who was free from scandal, had a good turnout from Republicans yet still won in close race that had been a lock for Republicans for the most elections ever since Arizona has been a state.



Why does tty hate that buck said that Democrats are doing well?

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ttystikk said:

You have totally misrepresented my question.

This is becoming a pattern for you.

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Fogdog said:

Why do you hate it when people say Democrats are doing well?

Sorry to break this to you but this year is looking for Democrats to be a lot like 2006 when they took 30 seats away from Republicans and Pelosi was recognized as the leader who helped make this happen.

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ttystikk said:

That's got everything to do with your biases and nothing whatsoever to do with my question.

Jump to conclusions much?

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Bugeye said:

25 or 6 to 4

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Fogdog said:

You are always bashing Democrats.

Why do you hate Democrats so much?

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ttystikk said:

#ruihistorian

Let the record show that smogdog couldn't give a straight answer to the question, even when given three tries.

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Fogdog said:

You are misrepresenting me again. This is a pattern.

I answered your question quite clearly.

Why do you hate it when Democrats seem to be doing well?

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ttystikk said:

The Democrat didn't win.

Maybe they weren't what the voters were looking for.

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